Add MORPHO market to Moonwell on Base

[Gauntlet] - MORPHO Recommendations

Summary

Gauntlet recommends onboarding MORPHO as collateral in Moonwell’s Core lending markets on Base. This decision follows a comprehensive evaluation of key risk factors, including liquidity, market depth, volatility, and overall asset suitability within the protocol’s risk framework.

We recommend setting a conservative Collateral Factor (CF) of 65%, and a Supply Cap aligned with slippage tolerance in the 25–30% range. The combination of a conservative CF and a relatively aggressive supply cap strikes a balance between risk mitigation and capital efficiency.

Risk Parameter Recommendations

Parameters Values
CF 65%
Supply Cap 1M MORPHO
Borrow Cap 500K MORPHO
Protocol Seize Share 30%

IR Recommendations

IR Parameters Recommended
Base 0
Kink 0.45
Multiplier 0.23
Jump Multiplier 5
Reserve Factor 0.3

Supporting Data

DEX TVL

pool_name pool_type pool_url pool_tvl_usd volume_24h_usd
MORPHO / WETH 0.3% aerodrome-slipstream Link $1.83M $270.37K
MORPHO / WETH 0.3% uniswap-v3-base Link $290.88K $101.25K
MORPHO / USDC 1% uniswap-v3-base Link $103.38K $2.44K

The total DEX TVL for MORPHO on Base is currently around $2M, with the majority of liquidity concentrated in the MORPHO <> WETH pool. A concentrated MORPHO <> WETH liquidity structure means MORPHO’s price stability is heavily dependent on WETH liquidity.

The overall liquidity remains relatively shallow. However, it is important to recognize that MORPHO is primarily a governance token within the Morpho ecosystem. Governance tokens often exhibit lower liquidity.

If adoption and incentives continue to expand, the liquidity constraints may gradually ease, making it a stronger candidate for increased collateral utility in the future.

Protocol TVL & Token Liquidity

Given all relevant factors, taking a cautious approach by a conservative Collateral Factor is advisable to minimize risks associated with potential liquidations in low-liquidity environments.

Liquidity & Slippage

5% Slippage

10% Slippage

25-30% Slippage

Executing a ~$1.5M MORPHO sell order in the current market conditions would result in an estimated 25-30% slippage.

Price Volatility

Over the past 180 days, MORPHO’s annualized daily log returns have fluctuated between a high of +36% and a low of -23%, reflecting the asset’s sensitivity to both upward momentum and downside corrections. The 30-day annualized log volatility is currently 183%, highlighting MORPHO’s exposure to substantial price swings over short time horizons.


IR Parameter Specifications

IR Curves

Utilization Borrow APR Supply APR
0 0 0
kink 10.35% 3.26%
100 285.35% 199.74%

We recommend an IR curve with a borrow APR of 10.35% at kink.

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