[Gauntlet] - Base/Optimism/Moonbeam/Moonriver Monthly Recommendations - 2025-04-17

Base

Simple Summary

Risk Parameters

A proposal to adjust the following risk parameters:

Risk Parameter Current Value Recommended Value
USDC Collateral Factor 83% 88%
EURC Collateral Factor 83% 88%
cbBTC Collateral Factor 81% 85%
LBTC Collateral Factor 81% 85%
tBTC Collateral Factor 81% 85%
cbBTC Reserve Factor 10% 5%
LBTC Reserve Factor 10% 5%
tBTC Reserve Factor 10% 5%
EURC Reserve Factor 10% 5%
tBTC Supply Cap 45 90
tBTC Borrow Cap 18 36

*Cap Recommendations will be implemented via Guardian

IR Parameters

A proposal to adjust USDC’s and WETH’s IR curve:

USDC IR Parameters Current Recommended
Base 0 0
Kink 0.9 0.9
Multiplier 0.0565 0.0515
Jump Multiplier 9 9
WETH IR Parameters Current Recommended
Base 0 0
Kink 0.9 0.9
Multiplier 0.0135 0.0190
Jump Multiplier 8 8

Rationale

Interest Rate (IR) Parameters

USDC

Source: Dune Dashboard

Gauntlet recommends lowering stablecoin borrowing APRs by approximately 50 basis points to better reflect current market conditions, following a decline in the SSR from 6.5% to 4.5%. This adjustment aims to keep borrowing rates competitive, support ongoing demand, and align with prevailing liquidity dynamics and interest rate trends.

Recommended USDC IR Curve

Projected APRs for USDC

Utilization Borrow APR Supply APR
0 0% 0%
kink 4.63% 3.75%
100 94.63% 85.17%

Current APRs for USDC

Utilization Borrow APR Supply APR
0 0 0
kink 5.08% 4.12%
100 95.08% 85.58%

WETH

WETH utilization has risen to near the kink. Gauntlet recommends a ~55bps increase in borrowing APRs to better align with broader market rates. This change aims to keep WETH competitive on both the borrow and supply sides. We’ll continue monitoring utilization and market dynamics closely and make additional adjustments as needed to maintain competitiveness.

Recommended WETH IR Curve

Projected APRs for WETH

Utilization Borrow APR Supply APR
0 0% 0%
kink 1.71% 1.39%
100 81.71% 73.54%

Current APRs for WETH

Utilization Borrow APR Supply APR
0 0% 0%
kink 1.21% 0.98%
100 81.21% 73.09%

Reserve Factors (RF)

cbBTC, LBTC & tBTC

We recommend reducing the reserve factor for cbBTC, LBTC, and tBTC from 10% to 5%. This adjustment is intended to make these markets more attractive to suppliers by increasing their net yields, thereby helping to improve liquidity and deepen supply.

Projected APRs for cbBTC

Utilization Borrow APR Supply APR
0 0% 0%
kink 2.45% 0.81%
100 132.45% 125.83%

Current APRs for cbBTC

Utilization Borrow APR Supply APR
0 0% 0%
kink 2.45% 0.77%
100 132.45% 119.20%

EURC

We recommend reducing the reserve factor for EURC from 10% to 5%. This adjustment is intended to make these markets more attractive to suppliers by increasing their net yields, thereby helping to improve liquidity and deepen supply.

Projected APRs for EURC

Utilization Borrow APR Supply APR
0 0% 0%
kink 5.49% 4.69%
100 95.49% 90.72%

Current APRs for EURC

Utilization Borrow APR Supply APR
0 0% 0%
kink 5.49% 4.45%
100 95.49% 85.94%

Collateral Factor (CF)

USDC

Gauntlet recommends raising the collateral factor for USDC from 83% to 88% in order to enhance capital efficiency for users leveraging USDC as collateral. As a widely adopted, highly liquid, and historically stable asset, USDC plays a critical role in DeFi markets. Increasing its collateral factor allows users to borrow more against their USDC holdings, improving the utility of the asset within the protocol and supporting more dynamic borrowing and lending activity.

Top USDC Suppliers’ Positions

cbBTC, LBTC & tBTC

Gauntlet recommends increasing the collateral factor for cbBTC, LBTC, and tBTC from 81% to 85%. This change is aimed at enhancing capital efficiency for users who supply these Bitcoin wrapper assets as collateral. By allowing higher borrowing capacity against these assets, the adjustment is expected to support broader utilization of BTC-backed positions, enabling users to access more liquidity without needing to unwind their BTC exposure. This move aligns with the increasing market maturity and liquidity of these assets, and is designed to promote greater engagement and strategic use of BTC wrappers within the protocol.

Top cbBTC Suppliers’ Positions

Liquidating top 10 suppliers’ positions would incur <10% slipppage.

EURC

Gauntlet recommends increasing the collateral factor for EURC from 83% to 88 to improve capital efficiency for users utilizing EURC as collateral. This adjustment, based on Gauntlet’s simulation methodology, would allow users to borrow more against their EURC holdings, potentially unlocking additional liquidity without significantly increasing protocol risk. Gauntlet’s simulation methodology exhausts a variety of market risk scenarios against current and projected user profiles and behaviors. We aim to set CF that minimize the expected insolvency loss across such scenarios while continuing to provide a high degree of capital efficiency.

Top EURC Suppliers’ Positions

EURC Price Stability

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) measures the strength of price movements, with values above 70 typically indicating strong upward moves and below 30 suggesting downward pressure. Based on the chart, RSI for EURC has mostly hovered between 40 and 65, indicating steady momentum without major extremes. There’s been a noticeable uptick in RSI recently reflecting stronger upward movement.

Cap Recommendations

tBTC

Gauntlet will use Cap Guardian to increase the Supply Cap for tBTC:

Asset Chain Current Supply Cap Recommended Supply Cap Current Borrow Cap Recommended Borrow Cap
tBTC Base 45 90 18 36

Cap Utilization

Top Supplier Positions

Slippage

Gauntlet continuously monitors cap utilization and provides timely recommendations. You can find our latest cap recommendations here.

Optimism

Simple Summary

Risk Parameters

A proposal to adjust the following risk parameters:

Risk Parameter Current Value Recommended Value
USDC Collateral Factor 83% 88%
USDT Collateral Factor 83% 88%

*Cap Recommendations will be implemented via Guardian

IR Parameters

A proposal to adjust IR parameters for USDC, USDT, DAI and WETH:

USDC IR Parameters Current Recommended
Base 0 0
Kink 0.9 0.9
Multiplier 0.0565 0.0515
Jump Multiplier 9 9
USDT IR Parameters Current Recommended
Base 0 0
Kink 0.9 0.9
Multiplier 0.0565 0.0515
Jump Multiplier 9 9
DAI IR Parameters Current Recommended
Base 0 0
Kink 0.9 0.9
Multiplier 0.0565 0.0515
Jump Multiplier 9 9
WETH IR Parameters Current Recommended
Base 0 0
Kink 0.9 0.9
Multiplier 0.0135 0.0190
Jump Multiplier 8 8

Rationale

Interest Rate (IR) Parameters

USDC, DAI and USDT

For the same reasons cited in the Base market, we recommend decreasing the borrow APR at kink by an additional ~50bps to mirror demand for leverage.

Recommended USDC, DAI and USDT IR Curve

Projected APRs for USDC, DAI and USDT

Utilization Borrow APR Supply APR
0 0% 0%
kink 4.63% 3.75%
100 94.63% 85.17%

Current APRs for USDC, DAI and USDT

Utilization Borrow APR Supply APR
0 0 0
kink 5.08% 4.12%
100 95.08% 85.58%

WETH

For the same reasons cited in the Base market, we recommend a ~55bps increase in borrowing APRs for WETH.

Projected APRs for WETH

Utilization Borrow APR Supply APR
0 0% 0%
kink 1.71% 1.39%
100 81.71% 73.54%

Current APRs for WETH

Utilization Borrow APR Supply APR
0 0% 0%
kink 1.21% 0.98%
100 81.21% 73.09%

Collateral Factor

For the same reasons cited in the Base market, we recommend increasing CF from 83% to 88% for USDC and USDT.

Top USDC Suppliers’ Positions

Top USDT Suppliers’ Positions

Cap Recommendations

Gauntlet continuously monitors cap utilization and provides timely recommendations. You can find our latest cap recommendations here.

Moonbeam

Simple Summary

Risk Parameters

A proposal to adjust the following risk parameters:

Risk Parameter Current Value Recommended Value
WGLMR Borrow Cap 6.00M 3M
xcUSDC Borrow Cap 240.00K 120K
USDC.wh Borrow Cap 180.00K 60K
FRAX Borrow Cap 20.00K 5K
WETH.wh Borrow Cap 10.00 0.10
WBTC.wh Borrow Cap 0.10 No Change
FRAX Collateral Factor 49% 39%
USDC.wh Collateral Factor 27% 17%
WETH.wh Collateral Factor 27% 25%
WGLMR Collateral Factor 55% 51%
xcUSDC Collateral Factor 60% 50%

*Cap Recommendations will be implemented via Guardian

Rationale

Caps

Gauntlet recommends reducing borrow caps for assets on Moonbeam to simplify management and ensure more efficient protocol maintenance.

Asset Current Borrow Cap Average Borrow Cap Usage (Last 7D)
WGLMR 6.00M 110.12%
xcUSDC 240.00K 88.42%
USDC.wh 180.00K 77.70%
FRAX 20.00K 42.87%
WETH.wh 10.00 82.17%
WBTC.wh 0.10 3.11%

Collateral Factor

We continue recommending a reduction in Collateral Factors across assets as follows.
- Decrease FRAX Collateral Factor from 49% to 39%
- Decrease USDC.wh Collateral Factor from 27% to 17%
- Decrease WETH.wh Collateral Factor from 27% to 25%
- Decrease WGLMR Collateral Factor from 55% to 51%
- Decrease xcUSDC Collateral Factor from 60% to 50%

The proposed reduction in CFs will trigger liquidations of positions totaling ~$10K in supplies and ~$5K in borrows. The positions poised to be liquidated are listed below.

User Address Total Supply Balance (USD) Total Borrow Balance (USD) Initial Borrow Usage New Borrow Usage Initial Health Factor New Health Factor
0xc6302894cd030601d5e1f65c8f504c83d5361279 7889.52 3854.62 0.9971 1.2528 1.003 0.798
0x3f5afe475e7025700726533b48ebcacc6ca4d11c 1273.05 580.937 0.9302 1.1667 1.075 0.857
0x6bc3e7b5010f588cfe347473c610b9a5d363e140 396.389 210.52 0.9656 1.0414 1.036 0.96
0xedd6be48b0fa7bc1dd43f6fed8cdfe666bfbc0cf 283.836 153.706 0.9846 1.0618 1.016 0.942
0x10115ea72868edacc4fda8f398043ca593f5b830 135.714 65.4792 0.9847 1.2371 1.016 0.808
0xe6c94137b9276def90c19776679ed9723fa701bd 246.348 61.7294 0.9281 1.474 1.077 0.678
0xb9ba28d129d5c9b77b9a7d349cf4626d4158eb1e 68.9578 35.4199 0.9339 1.0072 1.071 0.993
0xe3053cde2124eaa6103ddde8e5c6bd36c66f716e 73.6955 30.9274 0.8565 1.0761 1.168 0.929
0xb6bbb502dfe498df97c969155bb96fa69d9800e0 40.1915 20.8088 0.9413 1.0152 1.062 0.985
0xababe7c986a57792ffe17656db76c99413a385b5 35.0383 18.5418 0.9622 1.0376 1.039 0.964
0x26342d43cdd34a3af30da40502fef18f2bbf3dcf 59.0059 15.0722 0.9461 1.5026 1.057 0.666
0xb28662425e6a01e68e6d8ef6635c1b90311a9401 45.1568 9.70314 0.7958 1.264 1.257 0.791
0x810055eb73d5f5fbd13b6a79df3294a30a0a86a1 20.578 9.62542 0.9546 1.1994 1.048 0.834
0xc8b19839ae371bd541f20b15c3a3cb82bfb6a6c6 15.6423 7.59905 0.9604 1.0343 1.041 0.967
0x0d013d3eaea69e30a2d1bd4dc3e2bed4b77678d9 16.731 6.97434 0.8507 1.0688 1.176 0.936
0x06be7ae0b021ca3df1e08b62bcf84a061f6118bb 12.8821 6.62228 0.9347 1.008 1.07 0.992
0xf5738aa1e302a7e5750c353c3e623728c39a1caf 10.1787 5.5672 0.9944 1.0724 1.006 0.932

There would be a total of $5K liquidatable borrows due to the CF decreases.

Moonriver

Gauntlet does not recommend any risk parameters for the Moonriver market at this time.

Risk Dashboard

The community should use Gauntlet’s Moonwell Base Risk Dashboard to better understand the updated parameter suggestions and general market risk in Moonwell BASE.

Methodology

This set of parameter updates seeks to maintain the overall risk tolerance of the protocol while making risk trade-offs between specific assets.

Gauntlet’s parameter recommendations are driven by an optimization function that balances 3 core metrics: insolvencies, liquidations, and borrow usage. Parameter recommendations seek to optimize for this objective function. Our agent-based simulations use a wide array of varied input data that changes on a daily basis (including but not limited to asset volatility, asset correlation, asset collateral usage, DEX / CEX liquidity, trading volume, expected market impact of trades, and liquidator behavior). Gauntlet’s simulations tease out complex relationships between these inputs that cannot be simply expressed as heuristics. As such, the input metrics we show below can help understand why some of the param recs have been made but should not be taken as the only reason for recommendation. To learn more about our methodologies, please see the Helpful Links section at the bottom.

Quick Links

Please click below to learn about our methodologies:

Gauntlet Parameter Recommendation Methodology
Gauntlet Model Methodology

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