[Anthias Labs] - Risk Parameter Recommendations

[Anthias Labs] - Risk Parameter Recommendations (12/29/2025)

Anthias Labs proposes the following parameter changes for the month of January. For more information on current parameters, please refer to our monitoring dashboard here.

Base

Risk Parameters

Parameters Current Value Recommended Value
wstETH Borrow Cap 4800 1200
cbETH Borrow Cap 6400 1000
WELL Borrow Cap 10M 22M

Cap changes will be implemented via Cap Guardian

wstETH & cbETH

We recommend reducing the borrow caps for wstETH and cbETH. Both of these markets have historically exhibited very low borrow utilization, which suggests there is effectively no organic demand to borrow these assets. Despite this, current borrow caps are still set above the total supplied balances in each market, meaning that in theory 100% of all deposits are borrowable. This unnecessarily increases supplier exposure to tail-risk scenarios (for example, the recent wrsETH oracle mispricing event). In an adverse scenario, a user could borrow the full available supply and immediately dump it on a DEX creating temporary liquidity stress. To mitigate this we propose decreasing caps such that if the full borrow cap were instantly sold on a DEX, the resulting price impact would be limited to ~5%. Given the historically low utilization of these assets, this change will have negligible impact on users while capping the downside potential of tail risk scenarios.

Pictured below: cbETH borrow cap utilization past 90d

Pictured below: wstETH borrow cap utilization past 90d

WELL

Following the events on 10/10/25, when a user was able to exploit discrepancies between Chainlink oracles and DEX prices, we reduced borrow caps for nearly all volatile alts on the protocol. This was because the nature of the exploit involved borrowing volatile assets against high-collateral-factor collateral (e.g., USDC at 88%). We felt that, given the nature of WELL as a low-market-cap alt, something similar could happen, so we disabled borrows. However, we believe there is organic demand to borrow WELL that is currently being stifled, so we wish to increase caps slightly such that they remain mostly utilized, capping the downside of tail-risk scenarios while still allowing natural borrowing behavior in the market.

Pictured below: A swap of 12M WELL to USDC results in ~5% slippage, this is the borrowing capacity being added to the WELL market.

OP Mainnet

Risk Parameters

Parameters Current Value Recommended Value
wstETH Borrow Cap 1500 300
rETH Borrow Cap 340 150
cbETH Supply Cap 10 0.1

Cap changes will be implemented via Cap Guardian

wstETH & rETH

For the same reasons as on Base, we recommend decreasing borrow caps for wstETH and rETH on OP Mainnet. These markets also see very limited organic borrowing activity, yet current caps still allow a meaningful portion of supplied assets to be borrowed. This leaves suppliers unnecessarily exposed in tail-risk scenarios where a large borrow could be dumped on-chain.

Pictured below: rETH borrow cap utilization past 90d

Pictured below: wstETH borrow cap utilization past 90d

cbETH

We recommend effectively zeroing out the supply cap for cbETH given that on-chain DEX liquidity is extremely thin (essentially non-existent). By setting the supply cap to 0.1 (the borrow cap is already 0.1), we effectively pause the market until on-chain liquidity improves.

Pictured below: a swap of 0.1 cbETH to USDC incurs 7% slippage

Moonriver

Risk Parameters

Parameters Current Value Recommended Value
xcKSM 25% 15%
FRAX 25% 15%
MOVR 25% 15%

Chainlink plans to deprecate the oracle feeds on Moonriver on February 1st. Therefore, we recommend continuing to wind down collateral factors in the Moonriver markets to zero before that date. As the next step, we propose decreasing collateral factors from 25% to 15%. This may cause some users to be liquidated, so if you have an active position on Moonriver, please close it to avoid this outcome. Below is a table of addresses that are likely to be affected by this change.

Estimated debt repaid: $5,334.00

Newly liquidatable positions (after adjustment): 80

Address Collateral (USD) Debt (USD) HF change
0x98cea6ed2cf1047b08942cdeed525dc7eae2e84e XCKSM:$2,696, MOVR:$2,528 XCKSM:$1,171 1.115→0.669
0xea596b95be434da15c2d438011be8d35ca5826db XCKSM:$3,408, MOVR:$981, FRAX:$715 MOVR:$692, XCKSM:$376 1.195→0.717
0xf57439b647b5d2ba7309b5b58eaadefa69238926 MOVR:$2,300, XCKSM:$1,136 XCKSM:$418, MOVR:$150, FRAX:$24 1.451→0.871
0x50bfa31336524ef6f729ae4d07beb44e1f97ed53 FRAX:$1,026, MOVR:$15 FRAX:$245 1.062→0.637
0x491ffc953e1ab2751817ff90a5f32694a4841474 MOVR:$669, XCKSM:$491 XCKSM:$175 1.657→0.994
0x6b252eed6c28c076fa22c0f006d1d7161e0705ca MOVR:$735 MOVR:$146 1.259→0.755
0x15fd6f22be98b21ac03e685dac2c38e5de2055b6 XCKSM:$782 XCKSM:$141 1.387→0.832
0x5963c46aeb3f51ced435a770e40958b640480f6c FRAX:$684 FRAX:$138 1.239→0.743
0xc40b91a2e1182739487638ed377675b74a3c4467 MOVR:$731 FRAX:$133 1.374→0.824
0x2944778ea6a8c8b05780842b44413022b1246895 MOVR:$590 MOVR:$127 1.161→0.697
0x462b7abe217d652e820321b47f80d65437e62160 XCKSM:$281, MOVR:$153 XCKSM:$99, FRAX:$3 1.064→0.638
0x71583c00b62c85601e83b88ffc59233b1243b30d MOVR:$264, XCKSM:$184 XCKSM:$96 1.167→0.700
0xe1f5a5166df06f575a755ef26238cb4b07c1ce66 MOVR:$518 MOVR:$85 1.524→0.914
0x9f94ff95cbc403cbfc18802edeaef71da8155f36 FRAX:$372, XCKSM:$128, MOVR:$5 XCKSM:$79 1.598→0.959
0xbcba34246db4f560fc19b9a56111b90f8cadb248 MOVR:$148, FRAX:$146 FRAX:$37, MOVR:$32 1.065→0.639
0x749696fbee9c3b972d62bceb19ed38f9fedc261a XCKSM:$197, MOVR:$91, FRAX:$7 XCKSM:$43, MOVR:$23 1.117→0.670
0xa2ebd97892502847061fe611efd5e289dbfa0703 XCKSM:$269 XCKSM:$66 1.019→0.611
0x62e97d3f157162a5fb1f81a388358909922407e7 MOVR:$304 MOVR:$59 1.288→0.773
0xd56e6809e34a4271aa4d08dc4522266b9f3527fc MOVR:$235, FRAX:$9 MOVR:$34, FRAX:$20 1.130→0.678
0x71f9b420a6b03d2fbe2c0d2aea5f4365b0e95774 MOVR:$263 MOVR:$49 1.342→0.805
0x57c0674424b354d55ec45c65fad0f0dd3edd92cb MOVR:$296 XCKSM:$47 1.574→0.945
0x65274e52b12e0cfac2cc42bc4fb971447507c5e2 XCKSM:$117, MOVR:$76 FRAX:$43 1.122→0.673
0x5989190301ef1b771ee0b0290519b27f6fdda08a MOVR:$99, XCKSM:$94 FRAX:$39 1.237→0.742
0xaa69b502540b8a1b0d05e4df02bae637397d09f3 MOVR:$138 MOVR:$20, XCKSM:$12 1.078→0.647
0x826121d2a47c9d6e71fd4fed082ceccc8a5381b1 XCKSM:$72, MOVR:$65 MOVR:$30 1.142→0.685
0x3ec80aa5aa9563ae4108ad548af38bdf50bca5c4 MOVR:$155 FRAX:$29 1.336→0.802
0x07a92f07b414157f1b51dc6363c4e41483c9ae30 FRAX:$117 FRAX:$26 1.125→0.675
0x6c7e7fbfa69f4b5a5ade1c27bc74fa4290a3b8a3 XCKSM:$137 XCKSM:$25 1.370→0.822
0x0a4e5c29d7c1c80e0d6d3f06d1a28dfd6609536a MOVR:$132 MOVR:$24 1.375→0.825
0x9bbf8d4eae6d0423fc9b1ae37c934a3a0c574aa3 MOVR:$137 MOVR:$21 1.631→0.979
0x5972da5ff1b91a83fce2cda94ad8601dc0eb14b3 FRAX:$74, MOVR:$7 FRAX:$17, MOVR:$3 1.012→0.608
0x75ef617ebe6bb4e7b4e85c37c25462c1dbdd5b00 XCKSM:$88, MOVR:$12 XCKSM:$19 1.316→0.789
0x5b1419e3b2ab4f55178c14b7d1d5326d9fcb5dec XCKSM:$115 MOVR:$19 1.513→0.908
0xbd24b957413d1006ee642280e8777eeb7dbb0879 MOVR:$108 MOVR:$18 1.500→0.900
0x9282c491cbf940e66fb95e0ee52a1bdfb0dd4e52 MOVR:$45, XCKSM:$36 XCKSM:$12, MOVR:$6 1.125→0.675
0x157a8c092a9544fb84ed06d633956c1aba075e9f MOVR:$80, XCKSM:$10 FRAX:$11, XCKSM:$7 1.250→0.750
0x9187ca4c4426eea21a97fa1c415836ff75b06a69 MOVR:$81 MOVR:$17 1.191→0.715
0x82ad076fe3637e851741a4ec48e3f0a427d8672f MOVR:$80 FRAX:$16 1.250→0.750
0x409ea67dc4f83b8d91a8b32057aed28f5debbd4a XCKSM:$88 MOVR:$14 1.571→0.943
0xbf2d4f7bcafb6111fcdeaaa6c1fa680d084dc0c1 MOVR:$68 MOVR:$14 1.214→0.729
0x186fed4e49ae0fb6f312ac81d5af0397d31feb8a MOVR:$67 MOVR:$14 1.196→0.718
0x2f4675d80a50857ea02933f2487ef1fedb6660c1 MOVR:$33, XCKSM:$25 MOVR:$8, XCKSM:$5 1.115→0.669
0xc5ea9eb8cdba62e0a7d89b4fe6a2431afe64133b MOVR:$49 MOVR:$10 1.225→0.735
0x68541f794a58ce79a21f843745cc73a1d281ee87 XCKSM:$34, MOVR:$6 XCKSM:$10 1.000→0.600
0x2f8a59340e59c51b1df8fb8210f298e8451fbfb9 XCKSM:$40, MOVR:$7 FRAX:$10 1.175→0.705
0x391d396ebe8f48e17483561d6603066f7d7a0514 MOVR:$43 MOVR:$9 1.194→0.717
0x6c7b2911369eb702f4b007633e19f18f75babc73 MOVR:$48 FRAX:$9 1.333→0.800
0xea4c5bd8fb85130439e01ee3a3f0348edcac0858 MOVR:$43 MOVR:$9 1.194→0.717
0xd1bf5f87c7f04f93e46521988940b5aea30eb7aa FRAX:$47 FRAX:$9 1.306→0.783
0x0aac6fe840d4da1261f275562ae33d67ba6869ee XCKSM:$34, MOVR:$2 FRAX:$8 1.125→0.675
0xb82c368a482a99674582129a2578ee2ab80d4b18 MOVR:$28 FRAX:$7 1.000→0.600
0x1de88cc3a0fcd2c3077fb4426cc5afef6827820f MOVR:$28 MOVR:$6 1.167→0.700
0xa5d56b2879eedae9e8a2081b768a2bd70d550c9a MOVR:$22 MOVR:$5 1.100→0.660
0xd7cc57bfe31c7a9abc7edce68f660329828694ec MOVR:$23 MOVR:$4 1.438→0.862
0x8c0fcf914e90ff5d7f2d02c1576bf4245fad2b7f MOVR:$16 MOVR:$4 1.000→0.600
0x6d82b45e9a59fbe228cf2373c6bc50667bb4c40f MOVR:$21 XCKSM:$4 1.312→0.787
0xa18f887b74a21cccd0d8b5f955315eb6c8d4efab MOVR:$22 MOVR:$4 1.375→0.825
0xad55df79fc48258e526beca6648b157941320a1c FRAX:$17 FRAX:$4 1.062→0.637
0xe1500f14598d27da31cddfd0ffb124b0f904bd2c FRAX:$22 FRAX:$4 1.375→0.825
0x872af3cb1dad88907f2944f166a98a9d4a86dd93 MOVR:$16 FRAX:$4 1.000→0.600
0x716ec07ecce444596d9d16de78f74e58bac4ed9c MOVR:$15 FRAX:$3 1.250→0.750
0x7ea65c38c2d4ef477dbce3b95bed5ca85a0a4b73 MOVR:$18 MOVR:$3 1.500→0.900
0x96070153d3581a0f946c0785b58c1f7a969a5b4d XCKSM:$13 FRAX:$3 1.083→0.650
0xb4c9531a60e252c871d51923bc9f153f1d371ca8 FRAX:$13 FRAX:$3 1.083→0.650
0x7f81e7109f5fcf5e44082c8f7999d05642777264 MOVR:$18 MOVR:$3 1.500→0.900
0x8a147a71947f8659dfcb80d6b198e5dd9acc812b MOVR:$12 MOVR:$2 1.500→0.900
0xbaa0b77700482d2c0c19f804e563c0b62c9934d3 MOVR:$12, XCKSM:$1 FRAX:$2 1.625→0.975
0x7dec7d0bb9f27988c005b0fe6e9fd88b22250f08 MOVR:$10 MOVR:$2 1.250→0.750
0xe8111f6e1dea577136fc223fe1528805a59f1a1c MOVR:$11 FRAX:$2 1.375→0.825
0x8fb3d60c63634c7640248de71aa225d71a1a0ce8 MOVR:$11 MOVR:$2 1.375→0.825
0x02ff537c4e2995d7ce0be764fea5b9fa5d782cf5 MOVR:$9 MOVR:$2 1.125→0.675
0x0c84c7330ee905977a340ca44525b92c07f5876f MOVR:$8 MOVR:$2 1.000→0.600
0xf953b83f7ffcfdec76fd5182a6afe069144e2840 MOVR:$5, XCKSM:$1 MOVR:$1 1.500→0.900
0x1f34fb4e5c7015ddabc68bfaf6447696987f34d9 XCKSM:$3, MOVR:$3 XCKSM:$1 1.500→0.900
0x5780742c90bb4607d1adca1bb052f62761e2e340 MOVR:$4 XCKSM:$1 1.000→0.600
0x645c22593c232ae78a7ecbac93b38cbac535ef12 XCKSM:$6 FRAX:$1 1.500→0.900
0x57ffb07825f23829c9c7a5be1e294fd199151eff MOVR:$6 FRAX:$1 1.500→0.900
0x2e59dd47c415278b890b7f1a2846e0ced3cf080b XCKSM:$5 XCKSM:$1 1.250→0.750
0xce8453cc4200c37b25fef3c8c90f544d1370e248 XCKSM:$6 FRAX:$1 1.500→0.900
0x4042ac99caa740d7d3aea6d0db06631aa4ad45e1 MOVR:$5 FRAX:$1 1.250→0.750

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Anthias Labs has not been compensated by any third party for any statements made. All opinions and suggestions provided are based solely on our independent analysis and are not influenced by external entities.